Saturday, 16 May 2009

View of Recent Events

Having posted the "Vision 2015" of the American-Israeli plans for the region, I would like to solidify those stated points by using current events to do so, and just to remind you that what is happening right now is bigger than what some might think it is.

1) Liquidation of the Palestinian cause:

We have seen how the coming of an extreme right leadership in Israel with Netenyahu as it's prime minister and Lieberman as foreign minister, pointing to one thing which is similar to the camp david negotiations between Ehud Barack and Yasser Arafat, the Israeli proposition is back to being that of a "economical" peace between the Israelis and Palestinians with no defined sovereign state for the Palestinians. Not that it hasn't been that way for the past 9 years but they are actually saying that it is an economical peace rather than claiming a peace done through the two state solution "the road map". The Fateh Leadership seem to accept anything that they can benefit off directly while the only people resisting those plans are cornered in Gaza with no-say on whats happening in the West Bank.

2) Removal of Any Regional Entities that would oppose the American-Israeli plans:

Wars in Gaza this year and in Lebanon 3 years ago prove this point. Recently there has been a diplomatic move by the US specifically to try to erode this coalition between Syria and Iran on the one hand and Syria-Hizbullah-Hamas on the other. With the arrival of many diplomats recently to Syria from the US and others from other countries to try and persuade the Syrians to break off those ties by offering them better economic relations and more aid to help in development and such. It seems that so far this has been ineffective as the American administration kept the US sanctions on Syria.
Indeed the Americans and Israelis would like to see their plans go through without having to fight in another war, the recent meeting between Netenyahu and Obama for the purpose of synchronizing actions between the two countries in order to maintain this aim of trying to reach the objectives without war. The question is how long will this period last for?

Other events to consider:
- Hussein Hajj Hassan (Hizbullah member of the Lebanese Parliament) visits the UK.
- The continued siege on Gaza by Israel and Egypt.
- Recent accusations made by Egypt towards Hizbullah, after 5 months of capturing the Hizbullah member in Egypt.
- Revealing Israeli military actions in Sudan and the air force exercises in long distance bombing and exercises on mid-air refueling.
- Publishing of reports on possible Israeli military strikes in Iran and their consequences to the region.
- Al Assads' speech during Abdullah Gul's visit to Syria.

The proposed visit of US Middle East envoy George Mitchell to Syria anytime between now and Barack Obama's visit to Egypt should be a defining moment as to what the next 7 months hold. The thing to watch out for after that visit is the Saudi-Syrian relations which seem to be massively effected by the attitude of the US policy towards Syria, and what happens at the US embassy in Syria.

3 and 5) Normalisation of relations between (Arab) states and Israel and the creation of a (regional) alliance to counter the rise of new global powers.

Writing this would seem to King Abdullah of Jordan as shortsightedness, as he accused those who wouldn't back the American agenda for this region of being, at least in the broad context of his claims.
Anyways, In addition to the proposal made by Sheikh Khaled bin Ahmad al-Khalifa the foreign minister of Bahrain in October last year of a regional alliance between The Arab states, Israel, Turkey and Iran, there has been recent proposals of a similar alliance yet with a wider reach of not only Arab countries but also all 56 Islamic states that form the OIC. That way normalization of relations (once a humiliating peace agreement has been reached between the Israelis and Palestinians) between Israel and a quarter of the countries of the world will be achieved. This alliance has been called out for by the Jordanian King twice and by the Jordanian Prime Minister Nader Al Dahabe. Amr Mousa on the other hand 'only' stated that there needs to be a 'regional security agreement'.

To make things easier for Israel since it has to make a lot of concessions in order to achieve peace between them and the Palestinians (sarcasm) the Financial Times has stated that some Arab governments are looking to reduce some of the terms and conditions relating settlement expansion in the West Bank in order to achieve the peace they (the governments) always dream about. Not to forget that settlement building on occupied land (let alone expansion) is illegal according to the Geneva convention agreement.

With the re-surfacing of old US policies coupled with a new vision, the Muslim world is yet again going to be used to fight the wars of the West as a proxy to achieve their plans without sacrificing much except some of their wealth (Afghanistan in the 1980's and Chechnya). However, there is a huge difference with the situation back then and today. The Muslim world is a fast developing one with growing economies and huge economic potential with a rapid predicted increase if those potentials are harnessed correctly. Obama's romance with the muslim world is not being pursued with no aim or objective behind it, and it isn't just to refresh America's image in the Muslim world.

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